Republic Monetary Exchange News Blog
9Oct/120

Next Dollar Gold Target: $2,400 by Mid-2013

by Adrian Ash - Bullion Vault
October 8th, 2012

Wholesale US dollar gold prices slipped 0.4% from new 11-month highs in London trade Friday morning, dipping beneath $1,790 per ounce as European stock markets crept higher.

Wholesale silver bullion prices eased back below $35.00 per ounce – but also held 1.1% up for the week – as commodities held flat and major-economy government bonds ticked lower.

The Euro currency held above $1.30 despite a sharp drop in Germany's industrial orders data.

Latest US jobs market data were due just ahead of the start of New York trade, with analysts expecting on average a rise of 113,000 last month from August.

"The labor market needs to improve for QE3 to end and, if it does not improve as the Fed wants, other [monetary policy] measures will be introduced," reckons Standard Bank strategist Steven Barrow.

"If the third round of quantitative easing leads to further weakness of the US dollar, [other] central banks may be prompted to switch more cash reserves into gold," says Evy Hambro, co-manager of the UK's giant Blackrock Gold & General mining-stock fund.

The chart of dollar gold prices, says a new report from Hambro's team, "has turned decidedly bullish with the 50-day moving average rising above the 200-day moving average.

"The last time this happened was in February 2009...shortly after the implementation of QE1. Then, gold was $900 and never looked back. Should we witness a similar rally, prices would be taken to $2,400 by midsummer next year."

Bank analysts and trading desks today cited "further support" for gold prices from geopolitical tension over fighting on the Syria-Turkey border, plus the fast-spreading industrial unrest in South Africa – world #6 for gold mining output.

Japan's Toyota Motor Corp. said workers would return today to its Durban plant after it granted the 5.4% pay rise demanded during 4 days of wildcat stoppages.

Read the original article here

Facebook Twitter Email
1Oct/121

Fight the Fed by Owning Gold

Americans may finally be waking up to the realization that their best defense against more than 20 years of Fed mismanagement is a shiny yellow metal.

These days there is no shortage of chatter about the Federal Reserve's latest round of quantitative easing (aka QE3), and I detect there is a small, yet growing, level of dissatisfaction with the Fed's policies. It seems that savers have finally begun to find their voice -- somewhat in light of the fact that their money is slowly being stolen by the Fed's money printing.

From the stock bubble of the late 1990s, to the even bigger and more devastating housing bubble, to its recent policy of guaranteeing inflation and offering little reward to savers, the Fed has eviscerated the middle class and made poor people poorer.

Though it could be argued that people with wealth have benefited, that is not something that they necessarily asked for (excluding the Wall Street banksters).  In sum, the Fed is a devastatingly powerful organization, and it is hellbent on a path of continued destruction.

What brings up this rant is that a reader of my daily column (at www.fleckensteincapital.com; subscription required) recently asked me, where is the outrage about all of the above, and other unintended consequences I haven't mentioned?

That is a very good question. As noted, there seems to be a little bit of backlash brewing, but given the damage that has been inflicted on this country and on other places where central (planning) bankers loom large, it is damn little.

Time to stop turning the other check
I was incensed with the policies of Alan Greenspan, beginning in the mid-1990s, as readers of my columns can attest, and I would say my anger crested with the 2008 mania, when I wrote my book, "Greenspan's Bubbles: the Age of Ignorance at the Federal Reserve."

I had expected after the stock market bubble that the Fed would be forced to behave, but that was naïve and incorrect. Still, I felt certain after the second debilitating, debt-laced bubble that folks would demand more of the Fed (though I did know how it would respond, with stimulus, which is why I closed my short-only fund in early 2009). Thus, it has been disappointing to me that there hasn't been more outrage on the part of the masses.

Granted, the Fed may seem like an obscure subject, but it really isn't that hard to figure out who the main culprit is. Many others besides myself have written about it for many years now.

This is not to say that we have a functioning Congress; we don't. But had the policies of the Fed not been what they were for the past 20 years, we could never have gotten this far off the rails, nor could so many promises have been made that will be broken regarding prospective health care and retirement benefits.

To thine own wealth be true
I must admit I have become somewhat desensitized to the Fed's views, because I reached the point of outrage early on and exorcised my own demons to some degree with my book. But nonetheless, that is no excuse for those people who are being harmed. Americans need to stand up and insist that the Fed desist from its insane policies and demand sound money. (Thursday's Wall Street Journal op-ed by Sean Fieler, "Easy Money Is Punishing the Middle Class," was a fine step in that direction.)

Is that likely to happen soon? Unfortunately, no, since it would also require members of Congress to care about the country instead of their own careers. So in the near term at least, this is probably also a naïve hope on my part.

Thus, until the world's bond markets or average Americans demand sanity, all we can do is protect ourselves from the policies of the irresponsible, incompetent and, to some degree, egotistical madmen by owning gold.

GLD to world: You have a new friend request
On that subject, I think it is worth pointing out that the idea of gold as a currency or portfolio diversification asset may be in the process of going mainstream, with the catalyst being European Central Bank President Mario Draghi's ongoing transformation into Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke, even as the Fed goes nuts with money printing.

Read the rest of this story from MSN Money here

 

Facebook Twitter Email
27Sep/120

Gold Gains in New York as Price Slump Prompts Purchases

Gold rose in New York on speculation investors will boost demand after the metal's drop to an almost two-week low. Silver gained for the first time this week, Bloomberg reported.

Prices fell to US$1,738.30 an ounce yesterday, the lowest price since Sept. 13, on signs Europe's economy is still worsening. The Shanghai Composite of shares rallied 2.6% on speculation China may take more steps to boost growth. Gold is heading for the best quarterly gain in two years as the U.S., Europe and Japan announced quantitative easing.

The futures for December delivery advanced 0.3% to $1,758.40 an ounce by 7.50 a.m. on the Comex in New York. Prices are up 9.6% this quarter, 4.2% this month and 12% this year.

Prices in New York on Sept. 21 climbed to a six-month high of $1,790 an ounce.
Read More

Facebook Twitter Email
19Sep/120

Gold and Silver Market morning, Sept 19, 2012

Gold Today –New York closed down at $1,770.60 up $13. Asia took it up to $1,778. London calmed it ahead of the Fix which was set at $1,774.50 and in the euro at €1,361.439. The euro weakened slightly $1.3020, down half a cent. Ahead of New York’s opening gold stood at $1,773.60 and in the euro at €1,363.15.

Silver Today – Silver rebounded overnight, to $34.78. Ahead of New York’s opening it stood at $34.67.

Gold (very short-term)

Gold should consolidate with a stronger bias, today in New York.

Silver (very short-term)

Silver should consolidate with a stronger bias, today in New York.

Price Drivers

Gold & Silver – After QE3 came out last week, in the States, China indicated it would stimulate when needed and the Eurozone got the go ahead for bond-buying, where necessary. Japan has now joined the foray and is stimulating to the extent of $126.7 billion. This caught the world by surprise but explained why gold was buoyant ahead of London’s opening. The yen is weakening as a result.

The Yen is still being treated as a ‘safe-haven’ currency even though the Bank of Japan has made it clear that they will engineer a weaker Yen for a long time now. The same is true of the Swiss Franc, with both countries placing its export competitiveness above the value of its currency. The concept of any currency as a measure of value has now departed completely. Such currency market changes leave room for gold and silver to act as that measure of value, as currencies fall against them. This also enhancse investor’s views of the precious metals being the only place to retain wealth. During the 42 years of the “currency experiment” with no gold or silver standing behind currencies we have seen the gold price multiply from $35 to $1,770. That’s over 50 times in 42 years. And there’s much more to come it seems, with the assistance of governments. If one was fortunate to get out at anywhere above $800 back in the eighties and back in at $300 that number goes up to 64 times $35. That’s better than trading and less nerve racking.

Read the rest of the article here

Facebook Twitter Email
12Jul/120

Sprott Sees Record Gold in 2012: Corporate Canada

Gold will climb to a record by yearend as the global economy slows from the weight of too much debt, says Eric Sprott, the founder and chairman of Canadian fund manager Sprott Inc. (SII)

“I just can’t imagine the demand for gold is going down,” he said in a July 9 interview at Bloomberg’s Toronto office. “I don’t personally see a solution to the problem that we’re in, the financial leveraging issue that we all have where everybody wants to shed debt and there’s no buyers.”

Sprott’s company manages funds investing mainly in gold, silver, and precious-metals equities. He expects bullion will rise as investors seek the safest assets while governments spend to stimulate their economies, increasing chances that inflation will accelerate.

Gold, which had advanced for 11 successive years, is little changed so far in 2012. It’s 19 percent lower than the record $1,923.70 an ounce traded on Sept. 6 in New York after investors favored buying the dollar amid Europe’s escalating debt crisis.

Read More

Facebook Twitter Email
11Jul/120

Gold & Silver Market Morning, July 11 2012

Gold Today – Gold closed in New York at $1,568.40 down $19. Asia took it up to $1,977 ahead of London’s opening at which point it held steady. The morning Fix today was set at $1,576.50 down $20 and in the euro at €1,284.004 down 9€, while the euro stood at €1: $1.2278 down 50 cents. Ahead of New York’s opening gold stood at $1,577.44 in the middle and in the euro at €1,284.46.

Silver Today – Silver was lower in New York at $26.8 before rising higher in London ahead of New York’s opening at $27.10.

Gold (very short-term)

Gold should have a stronger bias today, in New York.

Silver (very short-term)

Silver should have a stronger bias today, in New York.

Price Drivers

Gold & Silver – The brief relief for Spain with the first tranche of €30 billion for their banks was over pretty quickly. Today sees Spain impose another €65 billion austerity cuts into an economy already shrinking rapidly. While sensible and necessary, the danger is that cutbacks will spur greater shrinkage, which we believe it will. Then you have the Catch-22 situation of greater shrinkage leading to a deeper recession, then greater deficit then the need for greater cutbacks. There comes a point where desperation sets in and social unrest becomes ugly. Will this spread to a greater E.U. crisis? It seems to be in Portugal, which is just ahead of Spain in this situation.

 

Continue reading this article here

Facebook Twitter Email
Tagged as: , , , No Comments
10Jul/120

Gold rises as focus shifts to Fed outlook

(Reuters) - Gold eased on Tuesday after news of missing client funds from another U.S. futures brokerage prompted commodity investors to lessen positions.

The selling erased early gains that occurred amid optimism for a European Union aid package for Spain.

Bullion weakened after PFGBest late on Monday told customers their accounts had been frozen. An U.S. industry body said about $220 million in customer funds were not in the brokerage's bank accounts.

U.S. investment bank Jefferies Group said on Tuesday it has started to liquidate trading positions of PFGBest.

Gold rose 1 percent early after EU ministers agreed to provide aid to ailing Spanish lenders. They set a maximum of 100 billion euros ($123 billion) of which some 30 billion euros would be available by the end of July if there was an urgent need.

read more

Facebook Twitter Email
5Jul/120

VIDEO: Is U.S. Headed for Fiscal Abyss?

 

MSN Money
Original post: June 28, 2012

Will the U.S. fall into a fiscal abyss in a decade or two? In this video, MSN Money columnist Anthony Mirhaydari explains how critics believe the country is approaching a cliff as soon as 2024.

As he answers questions from MSN Money's Facebook community, Mirhaydari also discusses investments that do well in a debt hole environment, such as gold and other inflation hedges.

Click on this link here to watch this informative video from MSN Money columnist Anthony Mihaydari from MSN Money's "Ask an Expert" series.

Facebook Twitter Email
3Jul/120

Gold Up 1.5 Percent on Easing Hopes, Signs of Slowdown

Reuters

Gold prices rose 1.5 percent to a two-week high on Tuesday, as signs of a slowing U.S. economy fuelled investors' expectation that central banks around the world will introduce new monetary stimulus.

The metal also benefited from inflation-hedge buying because of sharp rallies in crude oil on tensions over Iran's nuclear program rose, and as grain prices climbed as a drought in the U.S. Midwest spurred supply fears.

Gold has gained almost 5 percent in the past two sessions after data showed U.S. manufacturing shrank in June for the first time in nearly three years. New orders for U.S. factory goods rose more than expected in May but the trend has appeared softer this year and has added to concerns the economic recovery is losing steam.

Slowing U.S. growth, the European debt crisis and signs of cooling in the Chinese economy suggested policymakers will be more likely take bold steps to avoid a recession.

"We believe if evidence continues to mount that the U.S. economy is slowing and may require further monetary stimulus, then gold prices could get a boost rally," said James Steel, chief commodity analyst at HSBC.

Spot gold rose 1.5 percent on the day to $1,619.90 an ounce by 2:23 p.m. EDT (1823 GMT).

U.S. gold futures for August delivery settled up $24.10 an ounce at $1,621.80.

Silver rose 2.9 percent to $28.27 an ounce.

Trading volume remained light for a second straight session at 40 percent below its 30-day average, preliminary Reuters data showed, as trading desks were thinly staffed ahead of the U.S. Independence Day holiday on Wednesday.

The key U.S. non-farm payrolls data due on Friday will be scrutinized by investors eager to predict the next move by the Fed. Employers are expected to have added 90,000 new workers to their payrolls, a Reuters survey said.

EASING HOPES BRIGHTER

Hopes for more monetary stimulus, including a third round of a U.S. assets-buyback program known as quantitative easing (QE3), boosted U.S. equities and industrial commodities like copper.

The European Central Bank (ECB) could cut interest rates to a record low later this week. Gold soared 3 percent last Friday on a deal by European leaders to shore up banks and cut borrowing costs.

read more on this article here

Facebook Twitter Email
3Jul/120

Gold Rises to 2-Week High on Central-Bank Hopes

MarketWatch

Gold futures on Tuesday ended at their best in two weeks, fueled by expectations central banks around the world will take more steps to spur economic growth.

Gold for August delivery settled up $24.10, or 1.5%, at $1,621.80 an ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange.

That countered mild losses Monday, when the contract fell 0.4% to close at $1,597.70 an ounce.

Investors “are coming to the conclusion that the time is right for [the European Central Bank] to lower interest rates,” said James Cordier, a portfolio manager with Optionseller.com in Florida.

There’s also some expectations an ECB move would be followed by similar stimulus moves by other central banks, he said.

The European Central Bank is expected to lower rates on Thursday, and China is expected to relax the minimum reserve requirement ratio for banks again, analysts at Commerzbank said in a note to clients Tuesday.

In addition, more is expected of the U.S. central bank after weak manufacturing data Monday, they said.

Also benefiting gold, the dollar turned modestly weaker, and oil and most industrial commodities, as well as equities, traded higher.

The ICE dollar index, which tracks the U.S. currency against its six major rivals, traded at 81.803, up from around 81.888 in late North American trading on Monday.

A stronger dollar is a negative for gold and raw-materials futures, as it makes them more expensive for holders of other currencies.

Elsewhere in the precious-metals complex, silver for September delivery rose 78 cents, or 2.8%, to end at $28.28 an ounce. September copper added 7 cents, or 2.1%, to $3.54 a pound.

Platinum and palladium also settled higher, with October platinum up $33.10, or 2.3%, at $1,491.40 an ounce. September palladium gained $20.90, or 3.6%, to $598.90 an ounce.

read more on this article here

Facebook Twitter Email